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Green Minerals, Hard Power

In the DRC’s cobalt belt, orders from barracks echo in pits. FARDC, M23, and local militias shadow lithium in Zimbabwe and bauxite in Ghana. The energy transition meets checkpoints, ESG auditors, and soldiers who guard — or skim.

Episode Narrative

In the heart of West Africa, the echoes of history reverberate through time, shaping nations and lives. The period from 1991 to 2002 birthed profound transformations, particularly in Sierra Leone. What began as a civil war saw rebel leaders and warlords evolve into political party leaders and government officials by the dawn of the new millennium. The tumultuous years of conflict had left deep scars on the land and its people, but out of the chaos emerged a unique paradox: disarmament, demobilization, and reintegration programs, designed to restore order, inadvertently paved the way for ex-commanders to escape justice. They capitalized on their organizational skills and networks, transforming military might into political influence.

Meanwhile, the winds of change swept through Mali in 1991, when Colonel Amadou Toumani Touré led a military coup that ended the prolonged autocratic rule of General Moussa Traoré. This bold move triggered a pivotal transition to multiparty democracy, igniting hope for the rebuilding of a nation fractured by oppression. Amidst the shifting tides, peace negotiations began with Tuareg rebels in the north, setting a crucial precedent for military involvement in future political transitions across West Africa. This military-led initiative wasn't merely a response to crisis; it carved a new roadmap in the annals of governance.

As the years unfolded, the Democratic Republic of Congo became engulfed in a prolonged conflict from 1996 to 2003. Multiple armed groups clashed for control over the nation's vast resources, particularly in mineral-rich regions such as the cobalt belt. Here, military commanders emerged not just as warlords but as key players in shaping global supply chains. Their influence extended deeply into the heart of the DRC’s economy, intertwining warfare with the allure of invaluable minerals, generating wealth and power amid chaos.

Moving forward, the 2000s to the 2020s saw a significant evolution of military roles across the continent. African militaries increasingly engaged in peace support operations, tackling regional instability head-on. Missions like the African Union Mission in Somalia highlighted a shifting paradigm where local forces became critical in counterinsurgency and security enforcement. The challenges faced were immense, often marked by the struggle to adapt to local contexts while maintaining an effective operational strategy.

The fall of Muammar Qaddafi in 2011 marked another turning point, fracturing Libya's security architecture. The ripples of this collapse destabilized neighboring countries like Mali, Niger, and Algeria, creating a vacuum that militant groups eagerly exploited. These developments underscored the fragile nature of military control in regions rich with resources yet beset by turmoil. Military commanders, once tasked with securing territory, found their efforts complicated by emerging insurgent threats, blurring the lines of authority and power.

From 2013 to 2025, a French-led military intervention in Mali aimed to restore order but faced challenges that often seemed insurmountable. The inability to adapt to local cultures, histories, and grievances highlighted a critical lesson in postcolonial conflicts: external military imposition does not automatically yield political stability. This reality revealed the complexities of an evolving geopolitical landscape, echoing the necessity for nuanced understanding among military leaders.

Amidst these struggles, US Africa Command, or AFRICOM, began to establish a network of military bases across the continent by 2017. This shift marked a new era of military engagement, focused on "liquid warfare" strategies to target insurgents like Joseph Kony. These operations showcased a transition toward transnational military assemblages, impacting local command structures and altering the dynamics of regional security.

The fabric of African militaries continued to be woven with threads of history. From 2018 to 2025, veterans of the South African Defence Force engaged in reconciliation efforts, confronting the lingering impacts of apartheid-era military operations in Angola. These veterans, once soldiering through conflicts, turned their focus towards healing and addressing the scars left behind, emphasizing the importance of redefining military community dynamics in post-conflict environments.

Yet, the persistent specter of military coups cast a long shadow over democratic governance, particularly in West Africa. The years 2019 to 2025 bore witness to a series of coups, including those in Burkina Faso. Military leaders often justified their actions by citing security threats from rising insurgencies. This recurring cycle of military intervention underscored the enduring role of the military in political power struggles, often at the expense of fragile democratic frameworks.

In Nigeria, the #EndSARS protests in 2020 brought to light tensions within civil-military relations. The disbandment of the Special Anti-Robbery Squad revealed the complexities of policing in a militarized environment where public dissent clashed with government authority. This moment encapsulated the ongoing struggle for accountability within forces that had historically blended military influence with domestic security operations.

As time pressed on, Zimbabwe's military retained significant political influence, especially in the aftermath of Robert Mugabe's regime. From 2020 to 2025, civil-military relations in Zimbabwe reflected a troubled legacy. Despite initial hopes for stabilization following the coup in 2017, the continued militarization revealed deep-seated issues in reconciling military power with democratic aspirations.

Looking back over the years from 1991 to 2025, a pattern of ethnic stacking within African militaries emerged. This practice, where loyalty is cultivated along ethnic lines, became a crucial strategy for military commanders seeking control and cohesion within their ranks. It was a complex response to diverse ethnic landscapes, revealing layers of historical grievances interwoven into contemporary military structures.

Throughout this period, military commanders in Nigeria played pivotal roles in nation-building efforts, contributing to policies aimed at managing regional divisions. Their presence was marked by regimented practices — uniforms, ceremonies, and salutes that not only conveyed authority but reinforced a disciplined military ideology. These symbols of power shaped not just the identity of the militaries themselves but also the nation's narrative.

Military reform emerged as a beacon of hope in Nigeria and Senegal, aiming to transition armed forces from political actors into professional security institutions. However, the mixed results highlighted persistent challenges in consolidating civilian control, illustrating the arduous journey towards achieving genuine democratic governance.

The East African campaign during World War II remains etched in the memories of military commanders, a historical reference point that sheds light on ongoing regional military engagements. This interconnectedness reveals that military history is not merely about past battles but resonant with lessons shaping contemporary conflicts.

As our exploration draws to a close, let us reflect on the broader implications of the interactions between green minerals and hard power. From Sierra Leone to the Democratic Republic of Congo, the intertwining narratives of resource control and military influence beg the question: how can nations break the cycle of conflict driven by the very resources meant to foster development? The path forward requires not only an acknowledgment of historical legacies but also a commitment to redefining relationships between military and civilian power.

In this complex world, where minerals glisten with promise and power, the challenge remains: how can we ensure that the resources of a nation serve to uplift its people rather than bind them in a cycle of conflict and power struggles? This narrative serves not just to recount the past, but to illuminate a path toward understanding the profound interplay between militarization and resource control in shaping the destinies of nations.

Highlights

  • 1991-2002: In Sierra Leone, rebel leaders and warlords transformed into political party leaders and senior government officials after the civil war ended in 2002, facilitated by disarmament, demobilization, and reintegration programs that allowed former commanders to escape punishment and gain political power through their organizational and entrepreneurial skills.
  • 1991: Mali’s military coup led by Colonel Amadou Toumani Touré ended General Moussa Traoré’s 23-year autocratic rule, initiating a transition to multiparty democracy and peace negotiations with Tuareg rebels in the north, setting a precedent for military involvement in political transitions in West Africa.
  • 1996-2003: The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) experienced prolonged conflict involving multiple armed groups, including FARDC and M23 militias, with military commanders playing key roles in controlling mineral-rich regions such as the cobalt belt, which became central to global energy supply chains.
  • 2000s-2020s: African militaries increasingly engaged in peace support operations (PSOs), with missions like the African Union Mission in Somalia and the Lake Chad Basin Commission Multinational Joint Task Force reflecting evolving military roles in regional security and counterinsurgency.
  • 2011: The fall of Muammar Qaddafi fractured Libya’s security architecture, destabilizing neighboring Sahel countries (Mali, Niger, Algeria) and enabling militant groups to exploit weak military control, complicating military commanders’ efforts to secure mineral-rich and strategic areas.
  • 2013-2025: French-led military intervention in Mali faced strategic failure due to inability to adapt to local contexts, highlighting challenges for military commanders in postcolonial African conflicts where external military power does not guarantee political or security success.
  • 2017-2025: The US Africa Command (AFRICOM) developed a network of military bases and operational hubs across Africa to conduct "liquid warfare" targeting insurgents like Joseph Kony, illustrating new forms of transnational military assemblages influencing African military operations and command structures.
  • 2018-2025: South African Defence Force veterans have engaged in reconciliation efforts related to past military campaigns in Angola, reflecting ongoing military community dynamics and the legacy of apartheid-era military operations in regional conflicts.
  • 2019-2025: Military coups in West Africa, including Burkina Faso, have disrupted democratic governance, with military commanders often citing security threats from insurgencies as justification, underscoring the persistent role of military leadership in political power struggles.
  • 2020: The #EndSARS protests in Nigeria led to the disbandment of the Special Anti-Robbery Squad, a militarized police unit, revealing tensions in civil-military relations and the militarization of internal security forces under military-influenced governance.

Sources

  1. https://www.ogt-journal.com/jour/article/view/644
  2. https://academic.oup.com/ia/article/94/5/1059/5092073
  3. http://www.ssrn.com/abstract=1015091
  4. https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.3233/EPL-46601
  5. https://press.armywarcollege.edu/parameters/vol28/iss4/7
  6. https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/8ac4aca4371314c6187905342fb84c58f21088c9
  7. https://upjournals.up.ac.za/index.php/strategic_review/article/view/136
  8. https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S0022463415000132/type/journal_article
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  10. https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/66FAB85A2B48B2BA484FDA5C8E90F3B1/S0021853724000094a.pdf/div-class-title-a-return-to-khaki-rule-democracy-and-africa-s-lost-history-of-military-government-div.pdf